Zhao Xiongwen, a famous expert in communication field and a professor at North China Electric Power University, died of illness at the age of 61. (澎湃)U.S. stocks of semiconductor ETFs rose by 2.57%, global technology stock index ETFs and technology industry ETFs rose by over 1%, while energy industry ETFs fell by over 0.3%.For the first time since November 2022, the yield of 10-year US Treasury bonds has exceeded the yield of 3-month US Treasury bonds.
CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.Analysis: Two major factors, disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts, affect the total financial data. According to the analysis of market institutions, the financial data of the current month are greatly influenced by disposal of non-performing assets and resolution of local debts. The reform of financial institutions has been carried out in an orderly manner, and the disposal of non-performing assets of commercial banks has pressed the "acceleration button". According to industry insiders, the write-off of non-performing loans is only a bank accounting treatment, and the lending relationship between banks and enterprises has not changed, which does not directly affect the business activities of the real economy. In November, some non-performing loans were sold through packaging, transfer and sale, so that non-performing assets were listed as a whole. This part is not included in the scale of social financing, which will have a certain impact on the growth rate of social financing scale, but it will also not affect the financing relationship of the real economy. In addition, the intensity of localized debts has increased, and local governments may accelerate the replacement of debts in the short term, affecting the credit stock. It is understood that the Ministry of Finance has issued new local debt limits to all localities, and some provinces have started issuing them. At present, the total amount of special bonds issued by local governments in China has basically reached the planned annual issuance quota. According to market research, after the financing platform and other entities get the special debt funds, most of them will repay the debts in about 10 to 20 days, most of which are loans, so as to avoid "paying interest at both ends" of bonds and loans. It is estimated that nearly 250 billion yuan of local bond swap will be completed nationwide in November, and there will be a larger bond swap in December. According to industry insiders, for local governments, after the debt pressure is released slowly, it is more conducive to the development of the real economy, which is good for relieving the debt chain, smoothing the economic cycle and preventing risks, and has multiple positive effects. (The country is a through train)Research institutions predict that Thailand's economy will grow by 2.4% in 2025. Thailand Kaitai Research Center released a report on the 13th, saying that it predicted that Thailand's gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 2.4% in 2025, slightly lower than the growth forecast of 2.5% in 2024. The Kaitai Research Center believes that the slowdown in Thailand's economic growth is mainly due to the weakening of tourism, and it is expected that Thailand's exports to the US market will slow down. (Zhongxin. com)
CapitaMacro: The new French Prime Minister has a long way to go. Jack Allen-Reynolds, an analyst at CapitaMacro, wrote in a report to clients that if the new French Prime Minister wants to form a government and solve the country's troubled financial problems, he will face arduous tasks. Francois bayrou, a veteran centrist politician, was appointed as prime minister by President Macron on Friday. He must now form a government because his short-lived predecessor, Michelle Banier, tried to force through budget legislation and was overthrown by the National Assembly. Bayrou may face the same battle. Reynolds said: "The government seems unlikely to have the will and ability to solve France's financial problems." France's budget deficit this year will further expand, further exceeding the level that European authorities think can be tolerated.Huatai Research gave JD.COM Group the initial rating of H-share purchase with a target price of HK$ 182.73.Faba Bank: The Fed will formulate policies in consideration of inflation risks. Economists at Faba Bank wrote that it may be difficult for Fed officials to formulate and discuss monetary policies "without being involved in the debate on President-elect Trump's potential economic policies". They expect FOMC to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, as reflected by the market. They added that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell "may use the press conference to provide options for further relaxing the suspension of monetary policy." They don't expect him to directly comment on Trump's policies, "but FOMC will formulate policies consistent with managing high inflation risks," economists said.